Will China be number one?

Will China be number one?

By Stephen Hoadley Will China be Number One, that is, the most powerful and influential state on earth, soon?  This Big Question has already been answered in the affirmative by some commentators…but not all.  By some economic measures China is already Number One....
Will AUKUS halt China’s assertive foreign policy?

Will AUKUS halt China’s assertive foreign policy?

By Robert Patman If good strategy is about effectively relating means to ends, the recently announced trilateral security partnership Aukus – Australia, the UK, and the US – seems unlikely to fulfil expectations. A joint statement by its three leaders, guided by their...
Is AUKUS just ANZUS without New Zealand?

Is AUKUS just ANZUS without New Zealand?

By Alexander Gillespie ANZUS without NZ? Why the new security pact between Australia, the UK and US might not be all it seems. We live, to borrow a phrase, in interesting times. The pandemic aside, relations between the superpowers are tense. The sudden arrival of the...
How should we remember the Korean War?

How should we remember the Korean War?

By Stephen Hoadley Stephen Hoadley cautions New Zealanders to take into account the security risks – and the economic opportunities – presented by the fragile inter-Korean armistice, and to be aware of the shifting power balances of the East Asian region....
What is going on in Samoa?

What is going on in Samoa?

By Patricia A. O’Brien Samoan democracy hangs in the balance as a constitutional arm wrestle plays out — with the world watching.  New battlelines in Samoa’s ongoing political crisis were drawn this week. After an evening swearing-in ceremony on the lawn of...
Are China-US Relations deteriorating?

Are China-US Relations deteriorating?

By Steve Hoadley China and the US will not agree on many points of policy. But on one point they will tacitly agree: their ongoing strategic rivalry must be carefully managed to avoid war.    The answer to this Big Q is yes, China-US relations are deteriorating. But...
Is Taiwan a geopolitical flashpoint?

Is Taiwan a geopolitical flashpoint?

By Steve Hoadley It is hoped that moderation in Beijing, Washington, and Taipei will prevent the Taiwan flashpoint from igniting, says Steve Hoadley. Taiwan is more than an offshore island of China. It is also an armed flashpoint at the edge of a geopolitical frontier...